Betting Lines
| Spread | CIN -10.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CIN +28 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | CIN -10.9 (+17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (-2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CIN -8.9 (+19.1) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CIN -8.1 (+19.9) | 141.3 (-3.3) | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CIN -8.1 (+19.9) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CIN -9.2 (+18.8) | 139.4 (-1.4) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2023 | ECU 75 – 71 CIN |
| Mar 10, 2022 | CIN 74 – 63 ECU |
| Jan 30, 2022 | CIN 60 – 59 ECU |
| Jan 13, 2022 | CIN 79 – 71 ECU |
| Mar 7, 2021 | CIN 82 – 69 ECU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-3 | 10-6 |
| Away | 5-7 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 6.6 (#81) | -0.2 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#113) | 0.15 (#165) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#111) | 0.43 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#110) | 0.491 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIN | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.7% | 41.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 37.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 12.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 34.4% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.6% | 47.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.2% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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