Betting Lines
| Spread | WEB -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Under |
| Money | SAC +450 WEB -600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SAC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WEB +20 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | WEB -8.3 (-11.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.6 (-3.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WEB -7.8 (-12.2) | 142.0 (-4.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WEB -8.0 (-12.0) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WEB -8.3 (-11.7) | 144.3 (-6.3) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WEB -8.1 (-11.9) | 144.2 (-6.2) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 3, 2026 | SAC 104 – 90 WEB |
| Jan 4, 2026 | WEB 95 – 82 SAC |
| Mar 9, 2025 | WEB 83 – 70 SAC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | SAC 80 – 77 WEB |
| Jan 25, 2025 | WEB 87 – 81 SAC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 9-6 |
| Away | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 71.7 |
| Massey | -9.9 (#320) | 1.6 (#135) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#320) | 0.97 (#102) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.07 (#300) | 1.16 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#324) | 0.532 (#119) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SAC | WEB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.0% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.4 | 6.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 20.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 28.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 72.1% | 72.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.1% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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