Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -5.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | APSU +3 | 113 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -4.9 (-7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.7 (-28.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -2.9 (-5.9) | 139.6 (-26.6) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -3.9 (-6.9) | 142.0 (-29.0) | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -3.8 (-6.8) | 142.8 (-29.8) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNTC -3.6 (-6.6) | 140.2 (-27.2) | 60% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2022 | TNTC 78 – 51 APSU |
| Feb 19, 2022 | TNTC 73 – 69 APSU |
| Feb 26, 2021 | TNTC 81 – 76 APSU |
| Jan 22, 2021 | APSU 72 – 69 TNTC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 12-17 |
| Conference | 7-10 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 6-5 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.1 | 62.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 69.3 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#248) | -5.9 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#306) | -1.81 (#307) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.08 (#302) | -2.12 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.420 (#308) | 0.429 (#296) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 30.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 32.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 14.6% | 19.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.1% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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