Betting Lines
| Spread | WIS -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIS +6 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WIS -9.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIS -9.2 (-3.2) | 135.6 (-9.6) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIS -8.1 (-2.1) | 140.3 (-14.3) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIS -8.0 (-2.0) | 140.7 (-14.7) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIS -7.8 (-1.8) | 138.2 (-12.2) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 29, 2026 | WIS 67 – 63 MINN |
| Jan 14, 2026 | WIS 78 – 75 MINN |
| Mar 6, 2025 | WIS 74 – 67 MINN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | WIS 80 – 59 MINN |
| Jan 24, 2024 | WIS 61 – 59 MINN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 13-17 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 4-16 |
| Home | 12-4 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-2 | 3-9 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.0 | 69.2 |
| Massey | 11.9 (#27) | 6.0 (#88) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.66 (#3) | 1.76 (#61) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.21 (#11) | 2.04 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.655 (#4) | 0.581 (#56) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIS | MINN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.2% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.9 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.37 | 1.37 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 12.6% | 14.1% |
| ORB% | 27.3% | 19.0% |
| FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.3% | 48.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.6% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 15.5% |
Game Analysis
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