Betting Lines
| Spread | LMU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USD +4 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LMU -1.8 (-5.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.8 (+2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LMU -2.2 (-6.2) | 135.9 (-1.9) | 63% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LMU -1.5 (-5.5) | 138.6 (-4.6) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | LMU -0.8 (-4.8) | 138.3 (-4.3) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LMU -0.7 (-4.7) | 136.5 (-2.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | USD 66 – 62 LMU |
| Feb 21, 2026 | LMU 77 – 65 USD |
| Feb 8, 2026 | LMU 83 – 63 USD |
| Mar 8, 2025 | LMU 100 – 74 USD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | LMU 78 – 62 USD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 15-16 |
| Conference | 3-12 | 7-9 |
| Home | 6-7 | 8-6 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.1 | 63.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.3 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -2.0 (#211) | -0.5 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#132) | 0.16 (#166) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.58 (#133) | 0.42 (#142) |
| RPI | 0.534 (#114) | 0.512 (#156) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LMU | USD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 22.0% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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