Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -4.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 126.0 Under |
| Money | TEX -180 TENN +160 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +1 | 103 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -1.0 (-0.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 124.8 (-21.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -3.2 (-2.2) | 128.9 (-25.9) | 62% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -3.5 (-2.5) | 124.0 (-21.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -3.5 (-2.5) | 129.1 (-26.1) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -3.1 (-2.1) | 129.8 (-26.8) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TENN 85 – 71 TEX |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TENN 83 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TENN 74 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 24, 2024 | TENN 62 – 58 TEX |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TENN 82 – 71 TEX |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-12 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 16-3 | 16-0 |
| Away | 4-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 60.6 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 15.1 (#17) | 17.3 (#11) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#35) | 2.81 (#22) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.34 (#23) | 3.49 (#21) |
| RPI | 0.569 (#72) | 0.624 (#18) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.22 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 18.2% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 32.4% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 47.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 25.2% | 25.0% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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