Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | TEX +165 TENN -195 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +4 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | TENN -4.1 (+0.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.8 (+8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -1.8 (-2.2) | 135.0 (+9.0) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -2.3 (-1.7) | 133.2 (+10.8) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -4.1 (+0.1) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -2.4 (-1.6) | 137.2 (+6.8) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TENN 85 – 71 TEX |
| Mar 14, 2025 | TENN 83 – 72 TEX |
| Mar 24, 2024 | TENN 62 – 58 TEX |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TENN 82 – 71 TEX |
| Jan 30, 2022 | TEX 52 – 51 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-16 | 30-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-7 | 16-1 |
| Away | 4-6 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 8-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.5 | 74.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 63.1 |
| Massey | 13.6 (#37) | 21.7 (#5) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.45 (#69) | 4.58 (#2) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.89 (#68) | 5.82 (#3) |
| RPI | 0.523 (#127) | 0.659 (#10) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | TENN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 50.3% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 40.2% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 39.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 12.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.58 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 57.5% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 13.6% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.6% | 38.5% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 41.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 72.3% | 71.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 17.7% |
Game Analysis
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