Betting Lines
| Spread | TENN -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Over |
| Money | TENN -600 TEX +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TENN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TENN +11 | 155 | Won |
| Massey | TENN -8.1 (+2.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.9 (+20.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TENN -8.7 (+2.3) | 136.8 (+18.2) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TENN -7.1 (+3.9) | 138.4 (+16.6) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TENN -7.8 (+3.2) | 137.1 (+17.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TENN -8.4 (+2.6) | 134.8 (+20.2) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 7, 2026 | TENN 85 – 71 TEX |
| Jan 11, 2025 | TENN 74 – 70 TEX |
| Mar 24, 2024 | TENN 62 – 58 TEX |
| Jan 28, 2023 | TENN 82 – 71 TEX |
| Jan 30, 2022 | TEX 52 – 51 TENN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TENN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 30-8 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 6-12 |
| Home | 16-1 | 11-7 |
| Away | 6-5 | 4-6 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.0 | 78.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.1 | 72.6 |
| Massey | 21.5 (#6) | 13.4 (#38) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.11 (#3) | 2.36 (#39) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.27 (#3) | 2.82 (#41) |
| RPI | 0.645 (#6) | 0.538 (#102) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TENN | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 36.2% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.50 | 1.32 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.2% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 24.4% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.0% | 48.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 70.5% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.7% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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