Betting Lines
| Spread | RID -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RID win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +8 | 132 | Won |
| Massey | RID -1.7 (+6.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (-6.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 44% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CAN -0.2 (+8.2) | 138.2 (-6.2) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RID -0.5 (+7.5) | 136.5 (-4.5) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | RID -0.3 (+7.7) | 136.7 (-4.7) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RID -0.1 (+7.9) | 139.5 (-7.5) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | CAN 72 – 66 RID |
| Mar 7, 2025 | RID 78 – 50 CAN |
| Jan 11, 2025 | CAN 85 – 67 RID |
| Mar 3, 2024 | RID 65 – 61 CAN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | RID 79 – 76 CAN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 7-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-11 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.3 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#300) | -6.6 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.76 (#303) | -0.97 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#306) | -1.65 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.412 (#316) | 0.453 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RID | CAN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.7% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 42.8% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 19.6% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.4% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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