Betting Lines
| Spread | WOF -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WOF +19 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | WOF -8.6 (+10.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.2 (+25.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WOF -5.9 (+13.1) | 128.1 (+22.9) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WOF -6.4 (+12.6) | 133.0 (+18.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WOF -6.7 (+12.3) | 134.5 (+16.5) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WOF -6.9 (+12.1) | 130.8 (+20.2) | 75% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | UNCG 75 – 72 WOF |
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNCG 99 – 89 WOF |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WOF 97 – 85 UNCG |
| Feb 1, 2025 | WOF 74 – 62 UNCG |
| Jan 1, 2025 | UNCG 68 – 66 WOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 9-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 9-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 64.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 65.1 |
| Massey | 4.4 (#109) | -0.9 (#190) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#149) | 0.40 (#139) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.43 (#141) | 0.40 (#148) |
| RPI | 0.499 (#172) | 0.521 (#140) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WOF | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 35.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.0% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 77.1% | 76.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.4% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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