Betting Lines
| Spread | KC -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +1 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | KC -6.8 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.7 (-5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 8% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KC -7.3 (+8.3) | 146.1 (-9.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KC -7.1 (+8.1) | 144.7 (-7.7) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | KC -8.1 (+9.1) | 147.1 (-10.1) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KC -5.9 (+6.9) | 146.6 (-9.6) | 25% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 25, 2026 | OMA 77 – 60 KC |
| Jan 4, 2026 | KC 73 – 66 OMA |
| Mar 7, 2025 | OMA 70 – 61 KC |
| Feb 20, 2025 | OMA 78 – 66 KC |
| Jan 9, 2025 | OMA 77 – 58 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-25 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-9 | 11-3 |
| Away | 0-15 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.7 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 84.4 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -15.6 (#350) | -5.4 (#264) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.86 (#346) | -0.36 (#201) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.47 (#345) | -0.37 (#201) |
| RPI | 0.392 (#333) | 0.479 (#200) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.6% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 29.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.0% | 21.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.8% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 22.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 75.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
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