Betting Lines
| Spread | FDU -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FDU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FDU +20 | 130 | Won |
| Massey | FDU -1.5 (+18.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FDU -0.7 (+19.3) | 136.2 (-6.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FDU -0.4 (+19.6) | 136.9 (-6.9) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FDU -0.0 (+20.0) | 138.2 (-8.2) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -0.1 (+20.1) | 137.7 (-7.7) | 44% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | CCSU 63 – 57 FDU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | FDU 76 – 66 CCSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CCSU 76 – 72 FDU |
| Feb 7, 2025 | CCSU 87 – 66 FDU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 60 FDU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-22 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 5-13 |
| Home | 3-8 | 5-7 |
| Away | 2-16 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.2 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.2 | 72.1 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#348) | -13.2 (#341) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.44 (#353) | -2.46 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.89 (#351) | -2.97 (#340) |
| RPI | 0.372 (#348) | 0.391 (#334) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FDU | CCSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.8% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.74 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.2% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 19.8% | 18.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 53.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 65.7% | 68.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 19.6% |
Game Analysis
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