What's the point of robbery when nothing is worth taking? "Stand and Deliver" - Adam and the Ants
Horizon League · UPMC Events Center · January 30, 2022
Betting Lines
Spread RMU -4.5 Away covered
O/U 134.0 Under
Model Predictions
Spread Total RMU win
Actual RMU +2 122 Won
Massey RMU -4.6 (-2.6) — —
Massey Totals — 136.0 (-14.0) —
Bradley-Terry — — 70% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 76% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ RMU -2.7 (-0.7) 133.3 (-11.3) 57% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML RMU -3.2 (-1.2) 137.1 (-15.1) 65% ✓
Baseline ML RMU -3.0 (-1.0) 137.6 (-15.6) 69% ✓
Baseline Plus ML RMU -3.4 (-1.4) 134.6 (-12.6) 64% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 24, 2026 GB 71 – 67 RMU
Dec 5, 2025 RMU 80 – 78 GB
Feb 22, 2025 RMU 94 – 85 GB
Jan 18, 2025 RMU 89 – 67 GB
Feb 9, 2024 GB 81 – 76 RMU

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings RMU GB
Overall 8-24 5-25
Conference 5-16 4-16
Home 4-10 4-9
Away 4-14 1-13
Neutral 0-0 0-3
Last 5 2-3 2-3
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 68.4 61.2
Avg Pts Against 75.5 69.7
Massey -9.0 (#312) -10.3 (#324)
Bradley-Terry -2.63 (#341) -2.93 (#348)
W. Bradley-Terry -2.93 (#339) -3.47 (#344)
RPI 0.421 (#305) 0.374 (#347)
Shooting & Four Factors RMU GB
FG% 44.7% 41.2%
3PT% 31.6% 26.9%
REB / G 32.6 30.7
OREB / G 8.9 8.9
AST / TO 0.84 0.85
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 49.9% 46.1%
TOV% 21.1% 19.6%
ORB% 27.2% 27.0%
FT Rate 20.5% 23.7%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 53.5% 51.1%
Opp TOV% 17.3% 16.4%
DRB% 68.9% 71.6%
Opp FT Rate 22.0% 25.3%

Game Analysis

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