Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -6.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.0 Under |
| Money | MONT -240 EWU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MONT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MONT +2 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -3.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.0 (-22.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -2.4 (-0.4) | 141.0 (-21.0) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -3.3 (-1.3) | 143.5 (-23.5) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -3.1 (-1.1) | 144.0 (-24.0) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -3.6 (-1.6) | 143.9 (-23.9) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | EWU 82 – 74 MONT |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EWU 66 – 65 MONT |
| Mar 4, 2025 | MONT 83 – 72 EWU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MONT 92 – 81 EWU |
| Mar 1, 2024 | EWU 89 – 79 MONT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 11-9 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-3 |
| Away | 4-10 | 8-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.4 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.3 |
| Massey | -2.1 (#215) | -2.5 (#220) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#151) | -0.53 (#220) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#146) | -0.76 (#225) |
| RPI | 0.503 (#167) | 0.473 (#216) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MONT | EWU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 43.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 28.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 5.8 | 9.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.13 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.5% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 17.6% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.7% | 26.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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