Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +3 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -13.3 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.3 (+2.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 1% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -12.4 (+9.4) | 143.6 (-2.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -10.9 (+7.9) | 141.3 (-0.3) | 17% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -11.3 (+8.3) | 143.9 (-2.9) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -11.3 (+8.3) | 144.7 (-3.7) | 14% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFBK 64 – 62 WAG |
| Jan 26, 2023 | SFBK 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WAG 81 – 76 SFBK |
| Feb 5, 2021 | WAG 84 – 81 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2021 | WAG 74 – 67 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 21-6 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 15-3 |
| Home | 3-9 | 13-1 |
| Away | 7-9 | 10-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.7 | 73.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#325) | 6.2 (#86) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.57 (#340) | 2.09 (#45) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.22 (#342) | 2.36 (#53) |
| RPI | 0.389 (#336) | 0.552 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 26.8% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.08 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.6% | 51.3% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 16.8% | 23.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 23.5% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.0% |
Game Analysis
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