Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -17.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WAG win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +5 | 157 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -21.6 (-16.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 127.5 (+29.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -15.0 (-10.0) | 133.8 (+23.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | WAG -14.3 (-9.3) | 131.9 (+25.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | WAG -15.5 (-10.5) | 134.4 (+22.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -17.0 (-12.0) | 134.2 (+22.8) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFBK 64 – 62 WAG |
| Jan 26, 2023 | SFBK 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2022 | WAG 72 – 69 SFBK |
| Feb 5, 2021 | WAG 84 – 81 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2021 | WAG 74 – 67 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WAG | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-6 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 13-1 | 3-9 |
| Away | 10-5 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.3 | 65.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.4 | 71.2 |
| Massey | 7.3 (#71) | -10.4 (#325) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.09 (#49) | -3.11 (#345) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#48) | -3.88 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#86) | 0.356 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WAG | SFBK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.6% | 39.0% |
| 3PT% | 27.3% | 30.1% |
| REB / G | 36.9 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 0.82 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 44.7% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 30.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.9% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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