Betting Lines
| Spread | WAG -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 122.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK +145 WAG -188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFBK +2 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | WAG -2.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 121.4 (+4.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WAG -3.1 (+5.1) | 127.2 (-1.2) | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -4.7 (+6.7) | 124.3 (+1.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WAG -2.9 (+4.9) | 126.9 (-0.9) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WAG -3.0 (+5.0) | 128.2 (-2.2) | 34% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2023 | SFBK 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2022 | WAG 72 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WAG 81 – 76 SFBK |
| Feb 5, 2021 | WAG 84 – 81 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2021 | WAG 74 – 67 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-16 | 15-13 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 8-4 |
| Away | 4-11 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.0 | 61.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.3 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -13.5 (#352) | -7.4 (#297) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.95 (#335) | -1.01 (#276) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#342) | -1.55 (#287) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#311) | 0.458 (#261) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.9% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 12.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.79 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 45.9% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 49.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 68.8% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 37.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.