Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -138 WAG +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +3 | 165 | Lost |
| Massey | WAG -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.6 (+17.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -0.3 (-3.3) | 146.4 (+18.6) | 53% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WAG -0.1 (-2.9) | 144.2 (+20.8) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.1 (-3.1) | 148.5 (+16.5) | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -0.4 (-3.4) | 146.9 (+18.1) | 48% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFBK 64 – 62 WAG |
| Jan 26, 2023 | SFBK 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2022 | WAG 72 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WAG 81 – 76 SFBK |
| Feb 4, 2021 | WAG 74 – 67 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -5.6 (#263) | -2.5 (#206) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.31 (#198) | -0.04 (#171) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.40 (#194) | 0.17 (#166) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#232) | 0.496 (#175) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 29.6% | 28.9% |
| REB / G | 36.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.2% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 33.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.6% | 17.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.4% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 38.2% |
Game Analysis
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