Betting Lines
| Spread | SFBK -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | SFBK -163 WAG +170 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WAG +7 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | SFBK -1.3 (-8.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-8.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFBK -1.8 (-8.8) | 147.2 (-6.2) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFBK -0.7 (-7.7) | 145.2 (-4.2) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFBK -0.6 (-7.6) | 148.8 (-7.8) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SFBK -1.4 (-8.4) | 148.0 (-7.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFBK 64 – 62 WAG |
| Jan 26, 2023 | SFBK 65 – 56 WAG |
| Jan 30, 2022 | WAG 72 – 69 SFBK |
| Jan 15, 2022 | WAG 81 – 76 SFBK |
| Feb 5, 2021 | WAG 84 – 81 SFBK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-10 | 13-7 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 4-6 | 7-3 |
| Away | 5-4 | 6-4 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.7 | 71.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 68.7 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#243) | -3.6 (#218) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#174) | -0.54 (#213) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#185) | -0.38 (#194) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#182) | 0.458 (#232) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFBK | WAG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 41.8% |
| 3PT% | 30.9% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 46.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 15.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.7% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.9% | 20.7% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 74.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 39.5% |
Game Analysis
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