Betting Lines
| Spread | GONZ -32.0 Push |
| O/U | 157.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GONZ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GONZ +32 | 176 | Won |
| Massey | GONZ -30.8 (+1.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.0 (+20.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 100% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GONZ -25.1 (+6.9) | 159.9 (+16.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GONZ -20.7 (+11.3) | 157.9 (+18.1) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GONZ -25.2 (+6.8) | 157.9 (+18.1) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GONZ -26.2 (+5.8) | 158.4 (+17.6) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | GONZ 89 – 48 PORT |
| Feb 5, 2026 | PORT 87 – 80 GONZ |
| Jan 26, 2025 | GONZ 105 – 62 PORT |
| Jan 3, 2025 | GONZ 81 – 50 PORT |
| Feb 23, 2024 | GONZ 86 – 65 PORT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-4 | 19-15 |
| Conference | 13-1 | 7-7 |
| Home | 16-0 | 11-4 |
| Away | 5-1 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 7-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 87.2 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.2 | 73.0 |
| Massey | 23.9 (#1) | -3.6 (#237) |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.40 (#8) | -0.50 (#217) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 4.76 (#2) | -0.65 (#219) |
| RPI | 0.623 (#20) | 0.453 (#255) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GONZ | PORT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 53.9% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 37.2% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 41.8 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.63 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.6% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 48.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 17.6% |
| DRB% | 74.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 14.3% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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