Betting Lines
| Spread | CLE -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NKU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +6 | 150 | Won |
| Massey | CLE -1.5 (+7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.0 (+13.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CLE -0.8 (+6.8) | 135.2 (+14.8) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CLE -1.2 (+7.2) | 135.7 (+14.3) | 40% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | CLE -1.4 (+7.4) | 136.0 (+14.0) | 48% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CLE -1.5 (+7.5) | 135.9 (+14.1) | 43% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | NKU 81 – 70 CLE |
| Dec 4, 2025 | NKU 95 – 80 CLE |
| Mar 7, 2025 | CLE 68 – 63 NKU |
| Feb 6, 2025 | NKU 85 – 75 CLE |
| Jan 16, 2025 | CLE 76 – 58 NKU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NKU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 20-11 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 15-6 |
| Home | 12-4 | 15-3 |
| Away | 7-7 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.8 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#261) | -0.5 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#272) | 0.81 (#118) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.80 (#284) | 0.77 (#122) |
| RPI | 0.439 (#285) | 0.554 (#87) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NKU | CLE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.3% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 30.8% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 13.8 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.93 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.3% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 35.5% | 33.6% |
| FT Rate | 17.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 49.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 23.2% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.9% | 26.7% |
Game Analysis
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