Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 125.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +13 | 125 | Won |
| Massey | BC -5.2 (+7.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 123.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -4.0 (+9.0) | 129.5 (-4.5) | 66% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -2.9 (+10.1) | 128.6 (-3.6) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -4.4 (+8.6) | 128.5 (-3.5) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -4.0 (+9.0) | 129.5 (-4.5) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | BC 65 – 62 PITT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PITT 93 – 67 BC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 – 65 BC |
| Feb 15, 2023 | PITT 77 – 58 BC |
| Mar 8, 2022 | BC 66 – 46 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-7 | 9-11 |
| Away | 2-10 | 2-9 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 61.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | 0.8 (#148) | -1.2 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.32 (#198) | -0.11 (#187) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.08 (#186) | -0.24 (#193) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#252) | 0.475 (#210) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.7% | 45.8% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 31.5% | 32.6% |
| FT Rate | 22.6% | 31.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 15.8% |
| DRB% | 76.9% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.