Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Under |
| Money | PITT -500 BC +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -13.6 (+5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.2 (-1.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -12.5 (+6.5) | 141.8 (-6.8) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -10.6 (+8.4) | 141.9 (-6.9) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -12.6 (+6.4) | 141.5 (-6.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -12.7 (+6.3) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | BC 65 – 62 PITT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PITT 93 – 67 BC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 – 65 BC |
| Mar 8, 2022 | BC 66 – 46 PITT |
| Jan 30, 2022 | BC 69 – 56 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-12 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 9-11 |
| Home | 14-3 | 9-7 |
| Away | 7-5 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 66.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 70.2 |
| Massey | 8.4 (#67) | -1.6 (#203) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.96 (#41) | 0.24 (#148) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.30 (#45) | 0.39 (#140) |
| RPI | 0.584 (#41) | 0.498 (#184) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 37.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.02 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 19.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.0% |
Game Analysis
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