Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | PITT -1000 BC +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PITT +26 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -15.7 (+10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (+13.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -12.8 (+13.2) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -12.9 (+13.1) | 142.5 (+17.5) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -13.4 (+12.6) | 143.5 (+16.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -12.6 (+13.4) | 142.1 (+17.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | BC 65 – 62 PITT |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 – 65 BC |
| Feb 15, 2023 | PITT 77 – 58 BC |
| Mar 8, 2022 | BC 66 – 46 PITT |
| Jan 30, 2022 | BC 69 – 56 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 4-16 |
| Home | 13-4 | 9-8 |
| Away | 3-9 | 0-10 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 70.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.8 | 75.8 |
| Massey | 10.9 (#57) | -1.5 (#188) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#79) | -0.19 (#186) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.60 (#78) | -0.27 (#189) |
| RPI | 0.537 (#110) | 0.465 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 48.9% |
| TOV% | 14.8% | 17.2% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 26.3% |
Game Analysis
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