Betting Lines
| Spread | PITT -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | BC +124 PITT -148 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +3 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | PITT -1.5 (+4.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 48% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PITT -1.6 (+4.6) | 133.6 (-6.6) | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PITT -1.7 (+4.7) | 135.7 (-8.7) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PITT -0.9 (+3.9) | 135.0 (-8.0) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PITT -1.3 (+4.3) | 134.4 (-7.4) | 35% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2025 | PITT 93 – 67 BC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 – 65 BC |
| Feb 15, 2023 | PITT 77 – 58 BC |
| Mar 8, 2022 | BC 66 – 46 PITT |
| Jan 30, 2022 | BC 69 – 56 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BC | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-20 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-7 | 8-10 |
| Away | 1-10 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | 5.5 (#100) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#206) | 0.30 (#141) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.10 (#174) | 0.45 (#135) |
| RPI | 0.487 (#199) | 0.510 (#154) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BC | PITT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.4% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 15.7% | 16.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.7% | 51.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.8% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.4% | 71.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.7% | 26.4% |
Game Analysis
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