Betting Lines
| Spread | BC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Under |
| Money | PITT +105 BC -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PITT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BC +20 | 112 | Lost |
| Massey | BC -2.4 (-17.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 125.4 (-13.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BC -2.4 (-17.6) | 131.3 (-19.3) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BC -1.4 (-18.6) | 127.7 (-15.7) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BC -2.8 (-17.2) | 130.3 (-18.3) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BC -2.5 (-17.5) | 132.2 (-20.2) | 35% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 22, 2026 | BC 65 – 62 PITT |
| Mar 8, 2025 | PITT 93 – 67 BC |
| Mar 2, 2024 | PITT 90 – 65 BC |
| Feb 15, 2023 | PITT 77 – 58 BC |
| Jan 30, 2022 | BC 69 – 56 PITT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-21 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 6-14 |
| Home | 9-11 | 9-7 |
| Away | 2-9 | 2-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 68.1 |
| Massey | -1.3 (#189) | 1.1 (#146) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.04 (#170) | -0.25 (#202) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.06 (#172) | -0.00 (#181) |
| RPI | 0.484 (#209) | 0.451 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PITT | BC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 30.7% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 27.8% | 20.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.6% | 24.3% |
Game Analysis
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