Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +12 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | NICH -9.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.4 (-10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -9.0 (-3.0) | 142.9 (-8.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -7.1 (-4.9) | 145.7 (-11.7) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -7.3 (-4.7) | 144.9 (-10.9) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -9.0 (-3.0) | 145.4 (-11.4) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 17, 2026 | HCU 72 – 68 NICH |
| Dec 18, 2025 | NICH 79 – 64 HCU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | NICH 75 – 67 HCU |
| Feb 3, 2024 | NICH 83 – 73 HCU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | NICH 98 – 94 HCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HCU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-18 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 6-8 | 11-3 |
| Home | 7-6 | 11-1 |
| Away | 3-8 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.6 | 75.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.4 | 73.4 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#345) | -1.2 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.64 (#342) | -0.75 (#235) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.28 (#343) | -1.03 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.409 (#320) | 0.492 (#183) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HCU | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 45.8% |
| 3PT% | 27.5% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.66 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.6% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 24.0% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.4% | 12.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 29.6% |
Game Analysis
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