Betting Lines
| Spread | NEV -1.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NEV win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USU +29 | 127 | Lost |
| Massey | USU -3.9 (-25.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.9 (-25.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 57% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USU -3.1 (-25.9) | 148.7 (-21.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USU -2.2 (-26.8) | 149.2 (-22.2) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USU -2.3 (-26.7) | 149.7 (-22.7) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USU -3.0 (-26.0) | 150.8 (-23.8) | 37% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | USU 79 – 66 NEV |
| Feb 22, 2026 | NEV 80 – 77 USU |
| Jan 15, 2026 | USU 71 – 62 NEV |
| Jan 23, 2025 | USU 90 – 69 NEV |
| Jan 1, 2025 | USU 69 – 64 NEV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NEV | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 8-10 |
| Home | 7-7 | 9-7 |
| Away | 3-9 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.7 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.1 | 67.0 |
| Massey | 1.9 (#129) | 9.1 (#55) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.00 (#98) | 1.24 (#83) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#105) | 1.98 (#63) |
| RPI | 0.566 (#75) | 0.569 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NEV | USU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 47.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.14 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 25.2% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 49.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.1% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 74.0% | 76.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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