Betting Lines
| Spread | UCSD -1.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCSD win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCSD +8 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | UCSD -2.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.7 (+31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCSD -0.5 (+7.5) | 130.9 (+27.1) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCSD -1.5 (+6.5) | 131.2 (+26.8) | 57% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCSD -1.3 (+6.7) | 132.2 (+25.8) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCSD -0.8 (+7.2) | 130.2 (+27.8) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UCSD 84 – 72 CSUB |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCSD 83 – 62 CSUB |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UCSD 73 – 54 CSUB |
| Dec 8, 2024 | UCSD 81 – 60 CSUB |
| Mar 1, 2024 | CSUB 70 – 57 UCSD |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCSD | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-16 | 8-19 |
| Conference | 0-0 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-4 | 5-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.4 | 61.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#256) | -4.1 (#246) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#268) | -1.07 (#259) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#251) | -1.15 (#252) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#288) | 0.450 (#258) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCSD | CSUB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 5.7 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.61 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 17.8% | 30.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.9% | 33.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.