Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -7.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 132.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTEP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +11 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | UTEP -6.8 (+4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+17.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 77% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTEP -7.7 (+3.3) | 136.7 (+10.3) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTEP -5.6 (+5.4) | 132.8 (+14.2) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTEP -6.3 (+4.7) | 133.5 (+13.5) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTEP -6.7 (+4.3) | 133.8 (+13.2) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
Game Analysis
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