Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 121.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +24 | 120 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -14.8 (+9.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 117.0 (+3.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -14.5 (+9.5) | 123.8 (-3.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -9.9 (+14.1) | 126.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.5 (+13.5) | 126.2 (-6.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.1 (+13.9) | 125.5 (-5.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | UCI 107 – 85 CP |
| Feb 13, 2026 | CP 79 – 73 UCI |
| Mar 15, 2025 | UCI 96 – 78 CP |
| Jan 19, 2025 | UCI 101 – 71 CP |
| Jan 3, 2025 | UCI 98 – 89 CP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-10 | 7-21 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 9-1 | 4-7 |
| Away | 6-7 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.9 | 60.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 61.4 | 67.9 |
| Massey | 3.0 (#122) | -8.6 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#147) | -1.81 (#308) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.42 (#143) | -1.92 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.532 (#118) | 0.403 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | CP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.1% | 40.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.6 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.73 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.5% | 45.5% |
| TOV% | 19.7% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 30.9% | 27.6% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 28.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.6% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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