Betting Lines
| Spread | IONA -10.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IONA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IONA +8 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | IONA -12.1 (-4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 135.6 (+26.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | IONA -10.6 (-2.6) | 139.5 (+22.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IONA -12.6 (-4.6) | 139.3 (+22.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | IONA -11.1 (-3.1) | 139.6 (+22.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IONA -10.4 (-2.4) | 140.9 (+21.1) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | IONA 72 – 64 SPU |
| Jan 19, 2026 | SPU 77 – 63 IONA |
| Dec 8, 2024 | IONA 72 – 63 SPU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | SPU 59 – 53 IONA |
| Jan 6, 2024 | SPU 69 – 57 IONA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-8 | 22-12 |
| Conference | 17-3 | 14-6 |
| Home | 13-0 | 9-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 6-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.6 | 62.9 |
| Massey | 8.7 (#61) | -0.2 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.56 (#27) | 0.05 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.04 (#28) | 0.13 (#164) |
| RPI | 0.635 (#12) | 0.524 (#133) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IONA | SPU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 40.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.27 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.0% | 45.2% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 20.8% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 31.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.4% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 46.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 22.2% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.1% | 31.4% |
Game Analysis
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