Betting Lines
| Spread | TNST -8.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 127.5 Under |
| Money | EIU +290 TNST -350 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EIU +5 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | TNST -7.5 (+12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNST -6.9 (+11.9) | 129.0 (-10.0) | 21% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNST -7.2 (+12.2) | 130.4 (-11.4) | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNST -7.2 (+12.2) | 129.5 (-10.5) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TNST -7.5 (+12.5) | 130.7 (-11.7) | 24% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 6, 2026 | TNST 77 – 68 EIU |
| Jan 10, 2026 | EIU 74 – 70 TNST |
| Feb 14, 2025 | TNST 66 – 49 EIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | TNST 84 – 65 EIU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | TNST 78 – 73 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 3-15 | 8-10 |
| Home | 4-9 | 8-5 |
| Away | 1-16 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 54.3 | 68.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.4 | 70.8 |
| Massey | -19.0 (#356) | -8.2 (#302) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.57 (#353) | -1.67 (#301) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.30 (#354) | -2.19 (#309) |
| RPI | 0.353 (#352) | 0.389 (#335) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EIU | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 37.2% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 29.9 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.67 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.0% | 50.1% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 19.9% | 28.9% |
| FT Rate | 17.5% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.1% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.0% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.6% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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