Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +6 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | PRIN -4.5 (-10.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.0 (+1.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 86% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | PRIN -3.6 (-9.6) | 150.5 (+3.5) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | PRIN -3.6 (-9.6) | 151.1 (+2.9) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | PRIN -4.4 (-10.4) | 151.3 (+2.7) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | PRIN -4.8 (-10.8) | 153.2 (+0.8) | 68% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-7 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 12-2 | 11-3 |
| Home | 13-1 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-4 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 71.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 70.0 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#137) | 0.5 (#154) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.37 (#78) | 0.02 (#175) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.33 (#96) | 0.17 (#157) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#105) | 0.519 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.1% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 36.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 14.8% | 23.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.1% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 76.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.3% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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