Betting Lines
| Spread | JAX -11.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 138.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JAX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | JAX +20 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | JAX -14.4 (+5.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | JAX -12.3 (+7.7) | 137.4 (+0.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | JAX -11.3 (+8.7) | 140.3 (-2.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | JAX -12.4 (+7.6) | 140.5 (-2.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | JAX -12.8 (+7.2) | 138.1 (-0.1) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 16, 2026 | CARK 62 – 60 JAX |
| Feb 14, 2025 | JAX 77 – 62 CARK |
| Jan 18, 2025 | JAX 72 – 62 CARK |
| Feb 9, 2024 | JAX 59 – 55 CARK |
| Jan 28, 2023 | JAX 74 – 64 CARK |
Game Analysis
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