Betting Lines
| Spread | RICH -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | RICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VCU +2 | 126 | Lost |
| Massey | RICH -0.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 52% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | RICH -2.6 (-4.6) | 132.9 (-6.9) | 50% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | RICH -1.5 (-3.5) | 131.6 (-5.6) | 56% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | RICH -0.9 (-2.9) | 132.7 (-6.7) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | RICH -1.6 (-3.6) | 132.5 (-6.5) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | VCU 78 – 67 RICH |
| Jan 28, 2026 | VCU 77 – 69 RICH |
| Feb 26, 2025 | VCU 78 – 60 RICH |
| Feb 1, 2025 | VCU 90 – 49 RICH |
| Mar 2, 2024 | RICH 79 – 76 VCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 14-4 |
| Home | 11-4 | 12-4 |
| Away | 7-5 | 9-3 |
| Neutral | 6-4 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 67.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.4 | 62.4 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#93) | 8.4 (#63) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.10 (#93) | 1.76 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.29 (#99) | 1.84 (#70) |
| RPI | 0.556 (#86) | 0.592 (#39) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | RICH | VCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.69 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.7% | 21.7% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.2% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.0% | 42.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.7% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
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