Betting Lines
| Spread | UNF -2.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UNF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIP +3 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | UNF -2.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.8 (+0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UNF -0.7 (-3.7) | 146.7 (+4.3) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UNF -1.5 (-4.5) | 146.0 (+5.0) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UNF -1.7 (-4.7) | 149.0 (+2.0) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UNF -1.4 (-4.4) | 147.6 (+3.4) | 54% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | LIP 100 – 94 UNF |
| Jan 3, 2026 | LIP 82 – 74 UNF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | LIP 96 – 64 UNF |
| Feb 1, 2024 | UNF 85 – 76 LIP |
| Feb 17, 2023 | UNF 114 – 111 LIP |
Game Analysis
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