Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +18 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -9.6 (+8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.9 (+15.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -9.3 (+8.7) | 138.1 (+15.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -10.7 (+7.3) | 140.8 (+13.2) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -11.0 (+7.0) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -12.2 (+5.8) | 141.1 (+12.9) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OU 91 – 79 AUB |
| Feb 5, 2025 | AUB 98 – 70 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 28-6 | 19-16 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 7-11 |
| Home | 16-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 8-3 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.2 | 69.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.2 | 65.0 |
| Massey | 18.3 (#10) | 12.1 (#25) |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.17 (#1) | 2.13 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 5.03 (#3) | 3.14 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.676 (#2) | 0.567 (#75) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 49.4% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 33.8% |
| REB / G | 39.0 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 7.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.32 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 56.0% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 22.4% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 21.2% | 20.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.0% | 47.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.9% | 22.0% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.4% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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