Betting Lines
| Spread | AUB -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | AUB -2500 OU +1100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AUB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AUB +28 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | AUB -17.1 (+10.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 157.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AUB -15.8 (+12.2) | 156.1 (+11.9) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AUB -15.5 (+12.5) | 155.6 (+12.4) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AUB -13.7 (+14.3) | 156.0 (+12.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AUB -16.1 (+11.9) | 156.1 (+11.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 25, 2026 | OU 91 – 79 AUB |
| Jan 29, 2022 | AUB 86 – 68 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AUB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 32-6 | 20-14 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 6-12 |
| Home | 13-2 | 12-5 |
| Away | 8-2 | 2-7 |
| Neutral | 11-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 83.0 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 74.6 |
| Massey | 26.9 (#1) | 13.0 (#41) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.37 (#1) | 2.98 (#17) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 6.69 (#1) | 3.67 (#22) |
| RPI | 0.717 (#1) | 0.581 (#52) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AUB | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.6% | 49.0% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 37.9% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.4 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.82 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.4% | 57.1% |
| TOV% | 13.8% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 36.7% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 29.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.7% | 48.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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