Betting Lines
| Spread | UTC -9.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CIT win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTC +13 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | UTC -10.2 (-2.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-11.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UTC -8.9 (-4.1) | 143.9 (-6.9) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UTC -8.9 (-4.1) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UTC -8.4 (-4.6) | 145.4 (-8.4) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTC -8.7 (-4.3) | 144.1 (-7.1) | 18% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | CIT 88 – 85 UTC |
| Feb 21, 2026 | UTC 93 – 72 CIT |
| Feb 7, 2026 | CIT 78 – 71 UTC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | UTC 76 – 75 CIT |
| Jan 4, 2025 | UTC 81 – 68 CIT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 27-8 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 7-8 | 12-3 |
| Away | 5-9 | 12-4 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 65.4 |
| Massey | -4.7 (#253) | 8.8 (#59) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#236) | 1.91 (#54) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#252) | 2.07 (#60) |
| RPI | 0.470 (#219) | 0.607 (#28) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CIT | UTC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 36.0% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.25 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 53.4% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 35.8% |
| FT Rate | 19.2% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
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