Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -7.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +9 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -9.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.3 (-2.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 32% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -6.4 (-2.6) | 138.1 (-1.1) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -7.0 (-2.0) | 140.1 (-3.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -7.0 (-2.0) | 140.4 (-3.4) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -6.9 (-2.1) | 139.8 (-2.8) | 24% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FAU 60 – 52 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FAU 110 – 70 UTSA |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FAU 94 – 74 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FAU 112 – 103 UTSA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | FAU 106 – 66 UTSA |
Game Analysis
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