Betting Lines
| Spread | FAU -17.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | FAU -1600 UTSA +1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +40 | 172 | Won |
| Massey | FAU -22.8 (+17.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.4 (+24.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -19.1 (+20.9) | 151.4 (+20.6) | 90% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -17.4 (+22.6) | 149.6 (+22.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -17.7 (+22.3) | 150.7 (+21.3) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -18.4 (+21.6) | 152.1 (+19.9) | 90% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FAU 60 – 52 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FAU 110 – 70 UTSA |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FAU 94 – 74 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FAU 112 – 103 UTSA |
| Jan 20, 2023 | FAU 83 – 64 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FAU | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 35-4 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 18-2 | 4-16 |
| Home | 17-0 | 8-10 |
| Away | 11-3 | 2-11 |
| Neutral | 7-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.2 | 69.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.6 | 78.1 |
| Massey | 11.0 (#36) | -8.1 (#306) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.54 (#15) | -1.42 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.65 (#29) | -1.76 (#298) |
| RPI | 0.608 (#18) | 0.427 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FAU | UTSA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 36.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 38.0 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.24 | 0.76 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.3% | 47.0% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.6% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.0% | 51.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 15.0% |
| DRB% | 75.5% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.6% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.