Betting Lines
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | UTSA +900 FAU -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UTSA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | FAU +19 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | FAU -17.3 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.4 (+0.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 2% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FAU -13.0 (-6.0) | 144.2 (+2.8) | 14% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FAU -15.1 (-3.9) | 145.8 (+1.2) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FAU -13.2 (-5.8) | 146.0 (+1.0) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | FAU -12.9 (-6.1) | 145.6 (+1.4) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | FAU 60 – 52 UTSA |
| Dec 31, 2025 | FAU 110 – 70 UTSA |
| Jan 30, 2025 | FAU 94 – 74 UTSA |
| Jan 21, 2024 | FAU 112 – 103 UTSA |
| Feb 24, 2023 | FAU 106 – 66 UTSA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UTSA | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 35-4 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 18-2 |
| Home | 8-10 | 17-0 |
| Away | 2-11 | 11-3 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 7-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.2 | 77.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.1 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -9.1 (#323) | 11.9 (#29) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.26 (#295) | 3.15 (#8) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.55 (#290) | 3.29 (#17) |
| RPI | 0.428 (#306) | 0.636 (#9) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UTSA | FAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.6% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 38.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 10.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.75 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 54.9% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 26.1% | 31.6% |
| FT Rate | 28.3% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 18.5% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 75.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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