Betting Lines
| Spread | M-OH -2.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EMU +10 | 160 | Won |
| Massey | M-OH -0.1 (+10.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.5 (+7.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 50% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | M-OH -1.3 (+11.3) | 147.7 (+12.3) | 43% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EMU -0.5 (+9.5) | 148.6 (+11.4) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EMU -0.4 (+9.6) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | M-OH -0.8 (+10.8) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 52% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | M-OH 74 – 64 EMU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | M-OH 81 – 75 EMU |
| Feb 18, 2025 | EMU 76 – 66 M-OH |
| Jan 29, 2025 | M-OH 89 – 80 EMU |
| Mar 2, 2024 | M-OH 52 – 37 EMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 8-12 |
| Home | 8-7 | 9-8 |
| Away | 2-14 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.8 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#266) | -2.0 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.14 (#264) | -0.58 (#222) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.43 (#272) | -0.65 (#221) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#288) | 0.450 (#264) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EMU | M-OH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 30.2% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 34.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.70 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.7% | 50.5% |
| TOV% | 19.2% | 14.2% |
| ORB% | 22.2% | 26.3% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 53.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 70.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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