Betting Lines
| Spread | FSU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 129.0 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | VT +13 | 157 | Lost |
| Massey | FSU -0.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FSU -2.6 (-15.6) | 133.5 (+23.5) | 65% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FSU -2.5 (-15.5) | 137.1 (+19.9) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FSU -2.2 (-15.2) | 138.0 (+19.0) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FSU -1.3 (-14.3) | 135.7 (+21.3) | 58% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | FSU 92 – 69 VT |
| Jan 30, 2025 | VT 76 – 66 FSU |
| Mar 13, 2024 | FSU 86 – 76 VT |
| Feb 14, 2024 | VT 83 – 75 FSU |
| Jan 6, 2024 | FSU 77 – 74 VT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FSU | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-14 | 23-13 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 11-9 |
| Home | 11-4 | 11-4 |
| Away | 4-8 | 7-6 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 5-3 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.9 | 62.8 |
| Massey | 7.6 (#75) | 10.3 (#45) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.75 (#60) | 0.66 (#122) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.69 (#80) | 1.21 (#102) |
| RPI | 0.586 (#46) | 0.532 (#114) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FSU | VT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 39.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 1.27 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 54.2% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 32.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 16.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.7% | 47.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 19.1% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.9% | 18.2% |
Game Analysis
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