Betting Lines
| Spread | NAU -3.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NAU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +21 | 173 | Lost |
| Massey | NAU -3.5 (-24.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.1 (+38.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -2.3 (-23.3) | 139.2 (+33.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NAU -2.8 (-23.8) | 140.0 (+33.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NAU -2.8 (-23.8) | 141.9 (+31.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NAU -2.4 (-23.4) | 140.7 (+32.3) | 52% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 13, 2026 | PRST 77 – 68 NAU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | PRST 63 – 52 NAU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | PRST 58 – 46 NAU |
| Jan 19, 2025 | PRST 80 – 69 NAU |
| Feb 18, 2024 | PRST 83 – 68 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 5-15 | 10-10 |
| Home | 5-10 | 7-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 71.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.8 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#318) | -9.8 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.58 (#294) | -2.96 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.87 (#286) | -3.20 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.440 (#278) | 0.366 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NAU | PRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 38.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 25.6% |
| REB / G | 36.2 | 35.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 0.72 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.3% | 43.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 19.7% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.9% | 20.8% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 69.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.5% | 26.1% |
Game Analysis
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