Betting Lines
| Spread | BTLR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.0 Under |
| Money | BTLR -250 GTWN +205 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BTLR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BTLR +3 | 109 | Won |
| Massey | BTLR -4.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-31.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BTLR -4.0 (-1.0) | 136.6 (-27.6) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BTLR -4.3 (-1.3) | 140.3 (-31.3) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BTLR -5.2 (-2.2) | 139.7 (-30.7) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BTLR -4.8 (-1.8) | 138.8 (-29.8) | 74% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 18, 2026 | BTLR 93 – 89 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2026 | GTWN 77 – 64 BTLR |
| Feb 15, 2025 | BTLR 97 – 86 GTWN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | GTWN 73 – 70 BTLR |
| Jan 23, 2024 | BTLR 90 – 66 GTWN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 6-25 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 0-19 |
| Home | 9-7 | 6-11 |
| Away | 3-8 | 0-11 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L21 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 70.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 77.0 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#148) | -0.8 (#185) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.31 (#83) | -0.44 (#207) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.82 (#72) | -0.40 (#203) |
| RPI | 0.530 (#121) | 0.470 (#218) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BTLR | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 42.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 31.8 | 38.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.4 | 13.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 49.2% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 34.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.1% | 52.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.9% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.6% | 19.4% |
Game Analysis
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