Betting Lines
| Spread | SELA -12.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.0 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SELA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +10 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SELA -12.1 (-2.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-2.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SELA -9.7 (+0.3) | 149.0 (-3.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SELA -9.4 (+0.6) | 148.5 (-2.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SELA -9.1 (+0.9) | 148.9 (-2.9) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -9.3 (+0.7) | 146.9 (-0.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 10, 2026 | SELA 74 – 62 UIW |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UIW 79 – 70 SELA |
| Mar 10, 2025 | UIW 71 – 67 SELA |
| Feb 8, 2025 | SELA 71 – 66 UIW |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SELA 86 – 63 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-15 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 3-11 |
| Home | 10-1 | 5-10 |
| Away | 5-11 | 1-11 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.9 | 65.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.1 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -6.5 (#278) | -15.2 (#349) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.93 (#255) | -3.35 (#351) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.30 (#264) | -3.75 (#348) |
| RPI | 0.467 (#223) | 0.395 (#329) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SELA | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 33.0% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 31.4 | 28.4 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 0.75 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.9% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 21.1% |
| ORB% | 25.2% | 21.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 57.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.8% | 18.4% |
| DRB% | 65.2% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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