Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DUQ win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +24 | 130 | Lost |
| Massey | SLU -8.8 (-15.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 17% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SLU -9.2 (-14.8) | 140.2 (-10.2) | 21% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SLU -7.3 (-16.7) | 140.4 (-10.4) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -8.3 (-15.7) | 141.1 (-11.1) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -7.6 (-16.4) | 141.7 (-11.7) | 23% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SLU 91 – 76 DUQ |
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 23-12 |
| Conference | 1-16 | 12-6 |
| Home | 3-11 | 14-5 |
| Away | 1-10 | 5-6 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L17 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.2 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.4 | 68.3 |
| Massey | -3.2 (#233) | 8.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.82 (#245) | 1.32 (#82) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#228) | 1.46 (#89) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#269) | 0.564 (#78) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DUQ | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 34.9% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 39.5 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 13.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 36.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 15.2% | 24.1% |
Game Analysis
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