Betting Lines
| Spread | SLU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | SLU -1450 DUQ +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SLU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SLU +15 | 167 | Won |
| Massey | SLU -18.1 (-3.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 165.3 (+1.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SLU -17.1 (-2.1) | 157.4 (+9.6) | 89% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | SLU -15.0 (+0.0) | 158.8 (+8.2) | 88% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | SLU -16.2 (-1.2) | 156.7 (+10.3) | 89% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SLU -16.7 (-1.7) | 156.9 (+10.1) | 89% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 21, 2026 | SLU 81 – 77 DUQ |
| Mar 9, 2025 | SLU 90 – 88 DUQ |
| Mar 13, 2024 | DUQ 83 – 73 SLU |
| Feb 21, 2024 | DUQ 81 – 66 SLU |
| Feb 19, 2023 | SLU 90 – 85 DUQ |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-6 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 15-3 | 9-9 |
| Home | 19-0 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-3 | 5-7 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 86.4 | 76.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#23) | 2.8 (#124) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.60 (#31) | 0.35 (#129) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.27 (#31) | 0.41 (#132) |
| RPI | 0.616 (#22) | 0.521 (#127) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SLU | DUQ |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 51.0% | 45.7% |
| 3PT% | 40.8% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 40.8 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.46 | 1.19 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 60.1% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 27.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 43.3% | 51.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 73.9% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 29.9% |
Game Analysis
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