The tide is high, but I'm holding on. "The Tide is High" - Blondie
Saint Louis Billikens
91 – 76
FINAL Conference
Duquesne Dukes
Atlantic 10 Conference · Chaifetz Arena · March 1, 2026
Betting Lines
Spread SLU -13.5 Home covered
O/U 160.5 Over
Money SLU -1450 / DUQ +850
Model Predictions
Spread Total SLU win
Actual SLU +15 167 Won
Massey SLU -18.1 (-3.1) — —
Massey Totals — 165.3 (+1.7) —
Bradley-Terry — — 94% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 97% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML SLU -16.2 (-1.2) 156.7 (+10.3) 89% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ SLU -15.0 (+0.0) 158.8 (+8.2) 88% ✓
Baseline Plus ML SLU -17.1 (-2.1) 157.4 (+9.6) 89% ✓
Baseline ML SLU -16.7 (-1.7) 156.9 (+10.1) 89% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Jan 21, 2026 SLU 81 – 77 DUQ
Mar 9, 2025 SLU 90 – 88 DUQ
Mar 13, 2024 DUQ 83 – 73 SLU
Feb 21, 2024 DUQ 81 – 66 SLU
Feb 19, 2023 SLU 90 – 85 DUQ

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings SLU DUQ
Overall 29-6 18-15
Conference 15-3 9-9
Home 19-0 12-6
Away 7-3 5-7
Neutral 3-3 1-2
Last 5 3-2 3-2
Streak L1 L1
Avg Pts For 86.4 76.9
Avg Pts Against 71.6 75.9
Massey 17.9 (#23) 2.8 (#124)
Bradley-Terry 2.60 (#31) 0.35 (#129)
W. Bradley-Terry 3.27 (#31) 0.41 (#132)
RPI 0.616 (#22) 0.521 (#127)
Shooting & Four Factors SLU DUQ
FG% 51.0% 45.7%
3PT% 40.8% 34.1%
REB / G 40.8 34.8
OREB / G 10.4 10.2
AST / TO 1.46 1.19
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 60.1% 53.3%
TOV% 17.4% 17.7%
ORB% 32.2% 29.3%
FT Rate 25.2% 27.8%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 43.3% 51.2%
Opp TOV% 16.3% 18.0%
DRB% 73.9% 70.0%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 29.9%

Game Analysis

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